… So it is absolutely unsurprising, and totally lacking in statistical significance, that in a comparison with 28 variables, someone would find that temperature is correlated with one of them at a p-value of 0.05. In fact, it is more likely than not that they would find one with a p-value equal to 0.05.
They thought they found something rare, something to beat skeptics over the head with, but it happens three times out of four. That’s what I found so funny. …
[Update] And of course William M. Briggs has written something on the statistical quality of that paper as well.
